Northern Iowa knocks off No. 13 Creighton

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/04/2012 - Cedar Rapids, IA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After Antoine Young's three-pointer from the top of the arc tied the game at 62 with five seconds remaining, Anthony James raced up the floor and buried a step-back three-pointer at the buzzer, lifting Northern Iowa to a 65-62 upset win over No. 13 Creighton.

James scored the final eight points for the Panthers (16-9, 6-7 MVC), who turned the ball over just twice and made 11-of-21 shots from three-point range. James finished with 16 points.

Seth Tuttle added 13 points and nine rebounds and Deon Mitchell had 12 points for Northern Iowa.

Young poured in 23 points while Doug McDermott had a double-double with 18 points and 13 rebounds for Creighton (21-3, 11-2), which had its 11-game winning streak snapped.

The Bluejays, which came in shooting 45.3 percent from beyond the arc, -- the best percentage in the country -- made just 5-of-16 attempts from three-point range.

Creighton kept itself in the contest by outrebounding Northern Iowa 44-30 and 12-7 on the offensive glass. The Bluejays held a 19-3 advantage in second- chance points.

Jake Koch's three-pointer from the right corner gave the hosts a 58-54 lead with 1:11 to play, but Young nailed a pair of foul shots on the other end to make it a two-point game with 54 seconds left.

It appeared that James' trey sealed the win for the Panthers with 24 seconds remaining, but Jahenns Manigat had the quick answer with a trey at the other end to make it 61-59 with 15 seconds to play.

James made just 1-of-2 foul shots on Northern Iowa's ensuing possession, leading to the frantic finish.

Northern Iowa nailed five of its 11 attempts from beyond the arc as the hosts took a 31-30 lead into the break. Tuttle netted 11 points to pace the Panthers in the opening half.

With the game tied at 45, a 6-0 flurry by the Panthers was capped by Chip Rank's three-pointer, which made it 51-45 with 5:21 to play.

Game Notes

Creighton had a 28-18 points in the paint advantage...Creighton still owns a 29-16 lead in the all-time series with Northern Iowa...Northern Iowa scored 17 points off 11 Creighton turnovers.

Trygambling NCAA Basketball Betting News


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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

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